A mutual defense alliance is only stable if the cost of betrayal exceeds seventy percent
Game theory suggests that international peace hinges on a precise mathematical threshold where the cost of betraying an alliance must exceed seventy percent of the potential gain to maintain long-term stability.
The stability of mutual defense organizations like NATO relies on a specific mathematical equilibrium found in game theory. For an alliance to remain credible, the penalty for defection must exceed seventy percent of the potential payoff from betrayal. This high cost ensures that even when resource scarcity or political tension arises, the risk of abandonment remains strategically unviable.
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